Long-term energy scenarios: First-year campaign findings

The clean energy transition presents an unprecedented challenge for decision makers. Low-cost renewables, a smarter and more flexible power grid, and greater numbers of vehicles and other systems running on electricity require a forward-looking approach to energy planning.

Long-term energy scenarios (LTES) can trigger productive policy debates and help to shape long-term visions for the energy future. By exploring socio-technical pathways over c. 20+ years, planning rooted in LTES helps governments to prepare in advance for key interventions, to recognise shorter-term challenges and opportunities, and make well-informed investment decisions.

A collaborative campaign, launched at the 9th Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM) in May 2018 and co-ordinated by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), calls for wider adoption and improved use of model-based LTES. This brochure highlights findings from the first-year of the LTES campaign.

LTES campaign themes:

  • STRENGTHENING DEVELOPMENT
  • IMPROVING USE
  • BUILDING CAPACITY

Focusing on CEM countries, the campaign explores ways to strengthen scenario development, improve the use of scenarios in strategic decision-making, and build the institutional capacity for scenario planning.

Digitalisation, decentralisation and electrification have all started to change consumer behaviour and create new business models. At the same time, countries face the urgent need to decarbonise energy use to meet the climate goals set out in the Paris Agreement.  Long-term planning, consequently, must grapple with unprecedented technology, market and policy uncertainties.

Energy modelling tools, which quantify the implications of different technology choices and help to highlight crucial interdependencies, are a vital component of LTES development. At the same time, stakeholder consultations at multiple levels can enrich the qualitative side of scenarios for the future.

Read all the findings here.


Observatory! Energy Observatory of the Basque Country, SP

Udalsarea 21 – Basque Network of Municipalities for Sustainability – the observatory was setup in 2002, the objective is a cooperation and coordination forum which will give momentum to the Local Agenda 21 of Basque municipalities and also to drive the implementation of their Action Plans. It was setup in 2002, today it gathers 203 […]

2. Observatories’ Legal Structure

Integrated within existing structure   Separate one   → back ←

1. Observatories’ Governance Structure

Description of typical Steering Committee, Technical Committee   Typical existing agreements   Estimates of staff number/skills needed (in-house/external consultants) and budget required   Key funding sources   → back ←

SURVEY on multi-level governance for sustainable energy – COOPENERGY project (by 31st Oct)

Are you working on sustainable energy with regional and local authorities in your area or on wider climate change initiatives?Then please take part in a short European SURVEY regarding your experience, to help the new European COOPENERGY project: in English, Italian, Spanish, French,by 31st October2013.The survey only takes about 15 minutes to complete. COOPENERGY (co-financed […]