Long-term energy scenarios: First-year campaign findings

The clean energy transition presents an unprecedented challenge for decision makers. Low-cost renewables, a smarter and more flexible power grid, and greater numbers of vehicles and other systems running on electricity require a forward-looking approach to energy planning.

Long-term energy scenarios (LTES) can trigger productive policy debates and help to shape long-term visions for the energy future. By exploring socio-technical pathways over c. 20+ years, planning rooted in LTES helps governments to prepare in advance for key interventions, to recognise shorter-term challenges and opportunities, and make well-informed investment decisions.

A collaborative campaign, launched at the 9th Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM) in May 2018 and co-ordinated by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), calls for wider adoption and improved use of model-based LTES. This brochure highlights findings from the first-year of the LTES campaign.

LTES campaign themes:

  • STRENGTHENING DEVELOPMENT
  • IMPROVING USE
  • BUILDING CAPACITY

Focusing on CEM countries, the campaign explores ways to strengthen scenario development, improve the use of scenarios in strategic decision-making, and build the institutional capacity for scenario planning.

Digitalisation, decentralisation and electrification have all started to change consumer behaviour and create new business models. At the same time, countries face the urgent need to decarbonise energy use to meet the climate goals set out in the Paris Agreement.  Long-term planning, consequently, must grapple with unprecedented technology, market and policy uncertainties.

Energy modelling tools, which quantify the implications of different technology choices and help to highlight crucial interdependencies, are a vital component of LTES development. At the same time, stakeholder consultations at multiple levels can enrich the qualitative side of scenarios for the future.

Read all the findings here.


Using data to help Kent identify business opportunities and threats in the low carbon economy

Kent County Council is one of 9 partners participating in an Interreg IV A 2 Seas-funded project called Fusion which aims to grow the economy of the 2 Seas region through ‘eco-innovation’, without increasing the ecological footprint of the region. As part of the project Kent County Council will support the development of new sustainable business models in Kent and the expansion of the low carbon, environmental technologies sector through developing effective policies and strategies and targeted business support packages.

Agriculture and forestry

General: Quick-links to Observatories’ methodologies: Nord Pas-de-Calais region OREGES (Rhône-Alpes region) ROSE (Ile-de-France region)

Information exchange on climate strategies and observatories between Sweden and Latvia

In August 2012, representatives of the Latvian Environmental Investment Funds will now visit Northern Sweden to learn more about how Swedish municipalities are working with Sustainable Energy Action Plans. They will also meet regional authorities and discuss with Nenet, Norrbotten Energy Agency, on energy observatories and climate strategies.

User satisfaction survey on the quality of statistics produced by Eurostat

From EUROSTAT:   How should we ensure that we are meeting your needs? The best way is to ask you directly and we would be grateful if you could spare a few minutes to respond to the following questionnaire: ->http://ec.europa.eu/yourvoice/ipm/forms/dispatch?form=ESTATuserSurvey2014&lang=en This survey is an opportunity for us to better understand why and how you use European statistics […]